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Spot gold and silver finished sharply lower in United States trading on Thursday as higher Treasury yields, a stronger United States dollar, and a fresh jump in crude oil prices outweighed the traditional safe haven appeal tied to growing tensions involving the United States and Iran.
The combination of rising inflation expectations and firmer bond yields created a difficult backdrop for precious metals throughout the session.
At the time of publication, spot gold traded near $4,047.80 per ounce, down 1.98% on the day. Spot silver traded near $57.64 per ounce, posting a steeper decline of 3.46% as selling pressure accelerated across the broader metals complex.
Gold traded between $4,039.40 and $4,141.70 during the session. After failing to overcome important technical resistance, prices slipped below the $4,100 level and finished close to the lower end of the daily range.
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Silver also surrendered important technical ground after trading between $57.21 and $60.95. The metal failed to maintain its breakout above $60.75 and retreated toward the $58.73 support zone identified by recent chart analysis.
Equity markets across North America also endured a difficult trading session. Investors moved away from risk assets as technology stocks weakened while higher energy prices and rising Treasury yields added further pressure to market sentiment.
The S&P 500 declined 90.66 points, or 1.2%, to close at 7,408.30. The Nasdaq Composite lost 553.21 points, or 2.2%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 506.93 points, or 1.0%. The Russell 2000 fell 19.78 points, or 0.7%, and Canada's S&P TSX Composite slipped 0.21% to around 35,340.15.
European markets also finished lower as weakness spread through technology and consumer related shares. The STOXX Europe 600 fell 1.18%, while Germany's DAX, France's CAC 40, London's FTSE 100, and Italy's FTSE MIB all ended the day in negative territory, reflecting broad investor caution.
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Economic data continued to shape expectations for central bank policy. Although earlier inflation readings suggested softer price pressures, investors now appear less convinced that policymakers will quickly shift toward easier monetary conditions because energy costs have once again become a significant concern.
The European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged at 2.25%, but officials continued highlighting inflation risks tied to energy markets. Meanwhile, United States initial jobless claims dropped by 22,000 to 187,000, marking the lowest reading since September 1969 and reinforcing the view that layoffs remain exceptionally limited despite slower hiring activity.
Markets now broadly expect the Federal Reserve to leave interest rates unchanged at next week's policy meeting rather than signal an immediate easing cycle. Strong labor market data together with higher oil prices have kept the possibility of additional inflation pressure firmly on investors' radar.
The benchmark 10 year Treasury yield traded near the 4.7% level while the United States dollar remained firm. Those conditions reduced the appeal of non yielding assets such as gold because investors could obtain stronger returns in interest bearing securities.
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Developments across the Middle East continued attracting close attention. Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remained open but under significant military and commercial strain, while attacks involving Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea and renewed fighting connected to Iran backed forces pushed Brent crude above the $100 level during the session.
That energy shock created competing forces for gold. Geopolitical uncertainty supported defensive buying, but the sharp rise in oil also increased inflation expectations, lifted Treasury yields, and strengthened the dollar, ultimately placing greater downward pressure on bullion prices. Across financial markets, the dominant themes were higher oil, weaker bonds, a stronger dollar, falling equities, and silver underperforming gold.
Investors are now watching Federal Reserve communication ahead of the July 29 policy decision, additional labor market data, upcoming United States flash PMI figures, and any further disruption affecting shipping through the Strait of Hormuz or the Red Sea. Continued instability in those regions could quickly reshape market expectations.
From a technical perspective, gold bulls have lost near term momentum after prices slipped below the 100 period moving average near $4,083 and failed to break descending trendline resistance around $4,148. A sustained move above that level could open the door toward $4,200 and eventually $4,246, while a break below $4,039.40 would expose downside targets near $4,020 and then $3,957.
Silver also weakened after failing to hold above the $60.75 breakout level. Bulls would need to regain that level to target $61.88 and later $63.18, while additional weakness below $58.73 could expose support near $57.47 and then $56.12 as sellers continue to dominate the near term outlook.
DISCLAIMER: GoldInvestors.news is not a registered investment, legal or tax advisor or broker/dealer. All investment/financial opinions expressed by GoldInvestors.news are from the personal research and experience of the owner of the site and are intended as educational material. Although best efforts are made to ensure that all information is accurate and up to date, occasionally unintended errors and misprints may occur.
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